People involved in the management of high-risk activities are confronted with various uncertainties: the hazards associated with industrial activities, the impact of organizational changes at operators’ or supervisory authorities’ sites, etc.
Different strategies need to be put in place to manage these uncertainties.
Why is this theme important?
How, in practice, do the actors involved in high-risk activities understand and integrate uncertainties and, above all, how do they deal with them?
How do people deal with uncertainties when examining problems, making decisions or taking positions? How do they create the conditions that make it possible to take action in uncertain environments?
In the domain of industrial safety, it is a question of determining how positions or decisions can be taken despite uncertainties. These decisions concern both risk analysis and the implementation of systems or measures that improve safety.
Results in French
Approaches to uncertainty and its impact on decision-making
Other publications in English
Call for proposals
The call for scientific proposals on this theme was launched in 2008.
Selected research projects
- Study of decision-making processes in a context of uncertainty: investment decisions in pharmaceutical projects
Team composed of Saïna Hassanzadeh (PhD student, École des Mines d'Albi), Didier Gourc and François Marmier (École des Mines d'Albi, Industrial Engineering Department) and Sophie Bougaret (Manageos). - Decision-making processes under uncertainty: Actors, spaces and procedures in industrial risk prevention
Team composed of Fanny Girin (doctoral student, ENTPE), Emmanuel Martinais (ENTPE), Laure Bonnaud (INRA), Gwenola Le Naour (IEP Lyon) and Pierre Fournier (University of Aix-Marseille). - Industrial companies and the influenza pandemic: anticipation and decision-making when faced with a highly uncertain major event
Research team composed of Véronique Steyer (doctoral student, ESCP Europe) and Hervé Laroche (ESCP Europe) - High-risk modernization projects
Team composed of Thomas Reverdy (INP Grenoble) and Stéphanie Tillement (École des Mines de Nantes) - Quantitative methods of uncertainty representation and modeling in risk analysis for decision-making practice
Team composed of Enrico Zio and Nicola Pedroni (Politecnico di Milano) - Decision making in groups under uncertainty
Team composed of Juliane Marold, Ruth Wagner and Dietrich Manzey (TU Berlin)